{"id":703,"date":"2025-07-01T11:57:25","date_gmt":"2025-07-01T11:57:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/muhaaz.com\/saham\/?p=703"},"modified":"2025-07-03T12:21:59","modified_gmt":"2025-07-03T12:21:59","slug":"analisa-antm-harga-emas-naik-antm-pun-bersinar-tapi-hati-hati","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/muhaaz.com\/saham\/analisa-antm-harga-emas-naik-antm-pun-bersinar-tapi-hati-hati\/","title":{"rendered":"Analisa ANTM: Harga Emas Naik, ANTM Pun Bersinar\u2026 Tapi Hati-Hati"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Analisa Saham #001
ANTM: Emas Naik, ANTM Bersinar<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pengaruh Harga Emas pada Kinerja ANTM dan Resikonya<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Menurut laporan terakhir ANTM, kontribusi penjualan emas mencapai Rp57,5 triliun atau setara 83% terhadap pendapatan Antam pada Tahun 2024. Sisanya nikel 14% dan dari laba lain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jadi ya, meskipun ANTM sering dikira “saham nikel”, namun secara bisnis ANTM lebih condong ke “saham emas”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mari kita jujur<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Apakah harga emas akan terus naik selamanya? Jelas enggak. Kalau ternyata inflasi mulai jinak, The Fed mulai nurunin suku bunga, dan dunia mulai adem ayem, maka permintaan emas bisa stagnan atau malah koreksi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Itu berarti ANTM bisa ikut kedinginan, karena mayoritas omzet mereka sangat tergantung dari penjualan emas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bagi yang belum tahu, emas ANTM itu 70%-75% ambil dari Freeport dan sisanya dari berbagai pihak. ANTM hanya memproduksi 2%-3% emasnya sendiri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Intinya, ANTM itu beli emas lalu dijual lagi ke masyarakat. Margin penjualan emas sekitar 5%-6% tidak peduli harga emas berapa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Untungnya 1 tahun ini emas naik (2024 ke 2025), jadi laba ANTM bisa ikut naik karena punya stok pas beli murah<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Namun yang jadi masalah adalah harga emas dan sentimen tahun depan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kalau harga emas masih sama, artinya margin akan balik normal (gak segila tahun ini yg naik tinggi)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kalau emas koreksi dalam, itu bisa menggerus laba ANTM dan membuat nilai persediaan turun<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mari kita buka lembar sejarah.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Sekitar 2007-2008, saham ANTM pernah terbang tinggi di masa booming komoditas, lalu ambruk gara-gara krisis global. Terbang lagi tahun 2020-2021, waktu narasi nikel dan baterai EV jadi primadona, lalu\u2026 ya gitu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sekarang 2025 euforianya datang lagi. Tapi jangan sampai kita terjebak nostalgia harga tinggi, karena grafik jangka panjang ANTM penuh drama naik mendadak, lalu konsolidasi berkepanjangan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jadi kalau Anda mau masuk, pastikan sadar bahwa ini saham yang siklikal dan rentan terhadap naik-turunnya harga komoditas global, bukan bisnis yang tiap tahun bisa kasih pertumbuhan EPS stabil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Investasi yang baik bukan yang bikin kaya mendadak, tapi yang bikin tidur nyenyak.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jangan cuma karena semua orang bicara soal ANTM, kita ikut lompat. Pahami risikonya, pantau komoditasnya, dan jangan taruh semua telur di keranjang tambang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Salam,
Muhaaz Saham<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Disclaimer:
Bukan ajakan membeli atau menjual saham<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Analisa Saham #001 ANTM: Emas Naik, ANTM Bersinar Pengaruh Harga Emas pada Kinerja ANTM dan Resikonya Menurut laporan terakhir ANTM, kontribusi penjualan emas mencapai Rp57,5 triliun atau setara 83% terhadap pendapatan Antam pada Tahun...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":735,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[70,74,58,72,73],"class_list":["post-703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analisa-saham","tag-analisa-saham","tag-antm","tag-investasi-saham","tag-saham-komoditas","tag-saham-siklikal"],"yoast_head":"\nAnalisa ANTM: Harga Emas Naik, ANTM Pun Bersinar\u2026 Tapi Hati-Hati - Muhaaz Saham<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/muhaaz.com\/saham\/analisa-antm-harga-emas-naik-antm-pun-bersinar-tapi-hati-hati\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"id_ID\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analisa ANTM: Harga Emas Naik, ANTM Pun Bersinar\u2026 Tapi Hati-Hati - 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